Posted 4am UK time

Here is where we stand. Trump is still very likely to win Florida and is clearly favored in Georgia and North Carolina. So far, not a single state has changed hands from 2016. At the moment, it seems unlikely that we’ll get a very clear picture before daylight. Biden is looking good in Arizona, which substantially complicates Trump’s path. Trump has taken a clear lead in Ohio, but there is still a lot of Democratic vote left to count there. Again, if you’re expecting to know the winner tonight you will be sorely disappointed.

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Jonah Goldberg: Conservatives are becoming too tribal