Posted 7.40am UK time

Did the riots and civil unrest help Trump? Not in the places where they happened. Joe Biden has overperformed Hillary Clinton in Multnomah County, which includes the city of Portland, Oregon, and in Kenosha County, Wisconsin. The same is true for Hennepin County, which covers the city of Minneapolis and saw many of the initial protests and street violence following the killing of George Floyd. We are still waiting on complete reports from Philadelphia, but it appears likely that Biden will outperform Clinton there as well.

It is certainly plausible that these events aided Republican fundraising and get out the vote efforts elsewhere, but it looks like the people most directly impacted had other ideas.